Salesforce Forecast Categories | What They Mean and How To Use Them

Everything you need to know about Salesforce Forecast Categories

Last updated November 21, 2025

Gary SmithWritten by Gary Smith, CEO

This guide tells you everything you need to know about Forecast Categories in Salesforce.

In this guide, I explain:

1. The essentials of the Forecast Category field in Salesforce.
2. How to define and interpret Forecast Categories in Salesforce.
3. Ways you can (and can’t) customize the Forecast Category values in Salesforce.
4. How Forecast Categories and Opportunity Stage fields relate to each other.
5. Four reasons you should use Forecast Categories to improve sales pipeline reporting

In short, if you want to understand Salesforce Forecast Categories mean and how best to use them, then this guide is what you need.

Let’s start.

Forecast Category in Salesforce Explained

The Forecast Category field in Salesforce classifies each sales opportunity in terms of the salesperson’s confidence in winning the deal in a given period.

This classification is different from the opportunity stage field, which describes the pipeline in terms of the current position in the sales process.

That said, the Forecast Category on each deal is often set by the opportunity stage.

However, here’s the important thing.

Opportunity owners can adjust the Forecast Category on each opportunity based on how likely they think the deal is to close successfully. They can do this without changing the stage of the opportunity.

Forecast Category Example

Let’s say you have two opportunities at the Proposal stage, and you’ve presented your quote to the customers.

At the first opportunity, the customer informs you that she is still considering offers from several competitors.

On the second deal, the customer has rung you several times to check when you can deliver. She’s arranged the training for your product for the team. She's also asked you to send the contract and terms & conditions to her company's legal team.

You might classify the first opportunity as Best Case in the Forecast Category. (I’ll explain what these terms mean).

However, you classify the second opportunity as Commit. In other words, you’re saying to your boss, “Trust me, I’ll bring this one in this quarter.”

You get the idea. Forecast Categories provide us with additional sales funnel insights at the individual deal level.

This insight reflects the certainty the salesperson feels in winning each opportunity.

Let’s look at a Forecast Category. Then I’ll explain the definitions.

Forecast Category Report

Let’s assume we are at the start of Quarter 2 (April – June).

Here’s an example of a Salesforce dashboard chart using Forecast Categories for Quarter 2.

 

Example of a Salesforce dashboard chart showing opportunities grouped by Forecast Category.

Here’s the corresponding report.

Forecast categories report in Salesforce

$111,000 of the funnel is classified Pipeline. $60,400 in Best Case. $18,100 is in Commit. And a further $16,100 is in Closed.

Forecast Categories are a valuable field in creating reliable sales forecasts. However, we need to know how to interpret the categories.

 

Salesforce Forecast Categories Defined

Here’s the meaning of the categories in Salesforce.

Pipeline

Only a small number of the opportunities in this category will close successfully within the current period. Pipeline means the customer is in the early stages of the buying process, and deals in this Forecast Category need developing further.

As a guide, you should expect only a quarter of these deals to close within the quarter.

 

Best Case

Best Case means there is work to do to advance these opportunities. Nevertheless, the sales deals are fully qualified, and the opportunity has an embedded Close Plan.

You should expect to win between a third and half of the deals in the Best Case category.

 

Commit

The Close Plan is going well on these opportunities. Commit means you are confident of a successful outcome, and only in exceptional circumstances do these opportunities slip from the current period. You can confidently rely on these opportunities in your sales forecast.

You should expect to win 90% of the opportunities in this Forecast Category.

 

Closed

Closed opportunities are won. No further sales effort is required to clinch the deal or be sure of the sales revenue.

Include all of the opportunities in Closed in the sales forecast for the month or quarter.

 

Omitted

Opportunities are set to be Omitted when they are Lost or qualified out. However, for reporting purposes, sometimes other opportunities, renewal deals, for example, are allocated to the Omitted category.

The sales forecast excludes opportunities in the Omitted category.

Adjusting Forecast Categories

You pre-define Forecast Categories based on the opportunity stage. (We’ll look at how to do that in a moment).

However, for Forecast Category reports to be meaningful, the value on each opportunity must reflect the confidence of the salesperson.

In the short video below, I answer a question submitted by one of our readers. Should I use the Forecast Category for pipeline reporting?

Play Video
Showing how to update the Forecast Category on an opportunity in Salesforce.
Opportunity owners can update the Forecast Category based on their knowledge of the sales deal.

However, here’s something to bear in mind.

Only the opportunity owner can do this. Salesforce doesn’t care if you are the system administrator or the CEO; it’s still only the opportunity owner that can change the Forecast Category on an opportunity.

 

Forecast Category and Opportunity Stage Relationship in Salesforce

In Salesforce, each opportunity stage has a pre-defined Forecast Category.

The easiest way to see this is by looking at the configuration area of the opportunity stage field.

In this case, we have five pipeline stages.

Example dashboard chart showing pipeline stages

The category associated with each stage is shown further to the right.

Showing the forecast category linked to each opportunity stage.
The Opportunity Stages picklist area allows you to change the Forecast Category linked to each Stage.

For example, we’ve grouped two opportunity stages (Value Proposition and Proposal) in the ‘Best Case’ Forecast Category.

We can easily change this. Click edit next to the stage name, and re-assign the value.

Showing how to change the forecast category linked to an opportunity stage

Then Save to make the Forecast Categorychange.

 

Four Reasons To Use Forecast Category Reports

Many companies that analyze the sales pipeline using the Close Date & Stage report also use Forecast Category reports.

Here are four reasons why you should do that.

 

1. When Salespeople must Commit

If your sales team already uses the Commit concept, the Forecast Category is an excellent way to report on those deals.

In other words, salespeople must identify the pipeline opportunities they are very confident will close within the period.

Many businesses find this is a powerful way of making sure deals don’t slip; salespeople have to go all-out to win the sale once they’ve placed an opportunity in the Commit category.

 

2. Separating Process from Intent

The opportunity stage reflects your selling process. However, it says nothing about the customer buying process. Nor, indeed, does it indicate confidence in winning a deal.

Forecast Categories are a way to abstract the opportunity from the sales process.

Doing this is possible because, unlike the opportunity stage, Forecast Categories reflect confidence by the salesperson in the intention of the customer.

Consequently, in funnel reviews, managers can examine the pipeline by sales process AND salesperson confidence.

 

3. Communicating Upwards

In some companies, Board and executive reporting use Forecast Categories.

The Board gets the opportunity stage concept. However, they want to know what the sales team believes will happen.

Likewise, if you have different opportunity stages for different types of deals (for example, new sales versus renewals), this is also an excellent way to summarize sales forecast reports for the senior management team.

 

4. Summarize Opportunity Stages

If you have more than four or five pipeline stages, then you might want to rationalize and change them.

Nevertheless, Forecast Categories are a way to make pipeline reports more readable and useful. That’s because each category can reflect several pipeline stages.

Likewise, if you are in the habit of changing opportunity stages regularly, then you need consistency in reporting. Forecast Categories are one way to achieve this.

Commonly Asked Questions

How do Forecast Categories differ from Opportunity Stages?
The Forecast Category and Opportunity Stage fields in Salesforce are closely related, but they track different things.
 
The opportunity stage field describes the sales process. Opportunities move progressively through the stages as the deal evolves. The forecast category field indicates the likelihood of the deal closing within a specified period.
Each opportunity stage corresponds to a specific forecast category. However, the opportunity owner can change the forecast category without updating the Stage.
 
For example, a deal may be in the Proposal opportunity stage because you have given the customer a quote or presented your solution. Let's say it's in the Best Case forecast category because that's the default value for this Stage in your Salesforce environment. However, the opportunity owner may update the forecast category to 'Commit' if the salesperson is very confident that the deal will close successfully.
What does "Omitted" mean, and when should it be used?
How should we use Forecast Categories for renewals or multi-year contracts?
How do forecast categories relate to sales target tracking?
How do I identify which deals in the Best Case category have a high probability of slipping?

What Next?

For more information on Forecast Categories or Opportunity Stages, don’t hesitate to get in touch today.

Gary Smith

Written by

Gary Smith, CEO

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Gary is the CEO of The Gary Smith Partnership (GSP), where he leads the development of Salesforce-native apps that make the platform work how sales teams need it to.
With over 25 years of experience in Salesforce implementation, he regularly shares practical insights to help teams sell smarter and forecast more accurately.

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